Scotland Referendum II
Senior Economist (US and UK) - R&IS AXA IM
Download the Research 17/03/17 146 KB PDF
Deferred poll limits market impact
SNP’s Sturgeon’s call for a second Scotland referendum has been rebuffed for now by UK Prime Minister May. David Page discusses the likelihood of a second plebiscite being held only after the next General Election (May 2020). As such he sees little market implication and does not expect this to have a material impact on upcoming Brexit negotiations.