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Something for every view

The future is always unpredictable but when the recent past has been so strange the outlook is even more clouded. That makes investment decision making hard and trying to assess whether markets are a ...

Four strands of a medium term view

Recovery momentum in markets has faded in the last couple of weeks.

Risk premiums in phase 3

Recovery momentum in markets has faded in the last couple of weeks. The policy support will be there for a long time but investors have to now decide whether risk premiums are sufficient for the unce ...

Smelly Sludge not Black Gold

Oil prices peaked 12-years ago. This week there was excitement amongst some financial commentators that prices had gone negative.

Debt Counselling

The big rise in government debt is one of the few certainties in the outlook.

Lessons from crises

Watching the epidemiological curves remains the most important short-term thing to do in financial markets.

A view from the markets – Cash-flow

This is a locked-down musing on the impact that disrupted cash-flows have on different asset classes. While government revenue is undercut by the recession, government can still fund itself and repay ...

Denial, panic, hope.

We are passing through stages of a global social and economic disaster. The denial of February quickly became the panic of March. Now markets are responding to the massive policy response.

Dark Days

As we all isolate and get used to home video conferences and virtual lunches, there is much to reflect on.