Following a highly challenging year, our expectation for 2023 and 2024 is to finally see inflation retreat against a backdrop of global growth slowing to its softest – barring the pandemic – since 2009. But while we anticipate a challenging road ahead, we expect a slow recovery emerging in 2024.



What should investors expect in 2023?
There were few places to hide in 2022. The backdrop ultimately forced a revaluation of fixed income and equity assets. However fixed income investors stand to benefit most from the peak in inflation and policy rates, but equity markets while vulnerable, have the potential to rebound. We look at what 2023 could mean for both institutional and retail investors.
The current environment requires thoughtful investment strategies.
Watch our experts discuss the year ahead

US outlook
The US economy looks like it’s heading for recession in early 2023, although we expect it will be mild.

Eurozone outlook
The macroeconomic environment, energy crisis and tighter monetary policy are likely to push the bloc into recession.

China outlook
China’s economic outlook is dependent on how it exits its ‘zero-COVID’ policy and reopens its economy.

UK outlook
Inflation should begin to gradually retrace in 2023 but political developments remain important.

Japan outlook
Japan’s economy looks set to remain robust, with growth supported by the reopening of the economy .

Emerging markets outlook
We expect GDP growth in emerging markets (ex.- China) to decelerate sharply then slowly improve in the second half of 2023.

Our experts and investment teams outline their key convictions
Visit the Investment InstituteDisclaimer
This document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment research or financial analysis relating to transactions in financial instruments as per MIF Directive (2014/65/EU), nor does it constitute on the part of AXA Investment Managers or its affiliated companies an offer to buy or sell any investments, products or services, and should not be considered as solicitation or investment, legal or tax advice, a recommendation for an investment strategy or a personalized recommendation to buy or sell securities.
It has been established on the basis of data, projections, forecasts, anticipations and hypothesis which are subjective. Its analysis and conclusions are the expression of an opinion, based on available data at a specific date.
All information in this document is established on data made public by official providers of economic and market statistics. AXA Investment Managers disclaims any and all liability relating to a decision based on or for reliance on this document. All exhibits included in this document, unless stated otherwise, are as of the publication date of this document.
Furthermore, due to the subjective nature of these opinions and analysis, these data, projections, forecasts, anticipations, hypothesis, etc. are not necessary used or followed by AXA IM’s portfolio management teams or its affiliates, who may act based on their own opinions. Any reproduction of this information, in whole or in part is, unless otherwise authorised by AXA IM, prohibited.
Neither MSCI nor any other party involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating the MSCI data makes any express or implied warranties or representations with respect to such data (or the results to be obtained by the use thereof), and all such parties hereby expressly disclaim all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose with respect to any of such data. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall MSCI, any of its affiliates or any third party involved in or related to compiling, computing or creating the data have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including lost profits) even if notified of the possibility of such damages. No further distribution or dissemination of the MSCI data is permitted without MSCI’s express written consent.